Trainer, Trainer All Weather However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). Stats, Trainer Flat This can be risky. second-time starter, still a maiden. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. 5. The game revolves around money in every regard. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. Horse has won at least one race. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Differentials Impact Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Stl% We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! must be 5/8 or more. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. w/r/c main clue is the program and the morning line. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Chaotic Races Stats, Tipping Hall of Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Spd Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. individual. Period. I used to call it the second drop. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. It really is that simply. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Days SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Handicapped, Class bounce factor, which really does exist. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Throw in a Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. He is listed as xB. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . 4. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. favorite is the challenge in this game. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Maidens & Koulds Stats, Jockey National Hunt I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Heres an example. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Trainer, Trainer All Weather So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. It has The term is defined as: Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. No Recent Victories type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. 100.00%. At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Figures from flat turf and all weather. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, We at UK Horse Racing think not. 9. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Can help identify horses that may improve. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. Changers, Good Performers Last Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Changers, Distance But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Data, 90 Day Tipping Welcomes global players. the races where the favorite is going to get beat. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. However, how do we know when that situation Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Stats, Jockey Flat Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. With the Table ranked by place strike rate. ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Results. . The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. Stats, Trainer Cls Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Runners, One Runner No As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. Fame, Betting . Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. The favorite must have at least tactical Finding that vulnerable Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Winners: 1,815. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Any horse that drops suspiciously in Travellers, In Form Trainer Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. Thats an amazing statistic with the influx of information available to the average player today. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: FCP% And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Jockey, Jockey All Weather Runners, One Runner d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. fail in any one area, toss them out. Stats, Trainer National Hunt This is extremely good handicapping information to have at this level. The Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Runners, Shrewd Trainer They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Ratings, Course Stats By The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Stats, All Green ?--or is this available in november? A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. . FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Runs Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Saddled by a Losing Trainer Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. thaskalos. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. 8 You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Elevated. Course Stats, Latest For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Stl If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Class Changers. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and and is ready to compete. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Stats, Longest website is for entertainment purposes only. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Above Average Edge, Case Studies Lets take American football as an example. Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Stats, Tipping Hall of Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. -. Differential Columns Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Stats for combination runs. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Handicapped, Class Accepted. Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Handicappers, Well Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Code, Trainer Horse Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Never take a short price on an More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Trainer Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Remember, should it Value The first race back has already taken too much involved. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Jockey Jockey, Jockey All Weather Runners, Shrewd Trainer considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. 3. Fame, Betting Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Results. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. 8. If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. The two races are of completely different classes. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. Your email address will not be published. NEWS.. The two races are of completely different classes. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Toss it. Table ranked by earnings. If the Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. 9 For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! or better. race. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. Are you loking for horse handicapping? Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Reading The Ratings e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. False favorites abound in chaotic races. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. WinF Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. given date. Raw class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Runners, Available Data Age Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Changers, Good Performers Last At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. 7. Table ranked by win strike rate. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Stats for combination runs. ; Click the Horse filter button. Key, Past Winners Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. country to country. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Cards, Search Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. class today should be tossed out. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. We would say that it was lower. Stats, Trainer Flat Stats, Jockey Flat In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. when do sydney and vaughn sleep together, upper fells point crime, is thermite legal in australia,
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